Worried about equity valuations? Trying to time the market to sit out a correction? Take Larry Swedroe’s short quiz. We have data for 91 calendar years (or 1,092 months) of U.S. investment returns over the period 1927 through 2016. The average monthly return to the S&P 500 has been 0.95%, and the average quarterly return …Read More.
Mutual fund rating systems really only do a great job of “predicting” the past. Larry Swedroe reviews the research. The holy grail for mutual fund investors is the ability to identify in advance which of the very few active mutual funds will outperform in the future. To date, an overwhelming body of academic research has …Read More.
The US stock market has delivered an average annual return of around 10% since 1926. But short-term results may vary, and in any given period stock returns can be positive, negative, or flat. When setting expectations, it’s helpful to see the range of outcomes experienced by investors historically. For example, how often have the stock …Read More.
Larry Swedroe takes a look at U.S. and international equity valuations, and what the differences between them mean for investors. With the Shiller CAPE 10 above 30 (to be precise, 30.7 as I write this), it’s likely you have seen an interview or read an article in which some “guru” claims the market is on …Read More.
Five tips for helping to teach your kids about money. As parents, we continually struggle to pass knowledge on to our children. Unfortunately, sometimes financial knowledge is left off the list or lost in translation. To prevent that happening, consider the following five tips to help teach your children about money: It is never too …Read More.
As fallout from the Equifax data breach continues, Tim Maurer covers the steps you can take now to help ensure you’re protected from the possible negative outcomes of this (or the inevitable next) mass identity theft. What happens when one of the three primary entities designed to safeguard our financial identity to the outside world …Read More.
One of the big anomalies in finance is that, given the overwhelming evidence showing active management is a loser’s game, so many investors still choose it. Larry Swedroe offers four explanations for this phenomenon. The other day, one of my firm’s wealth advisors called me to relate his conversation with a prospective client who had …Read More.
What you need to know as Equifax announced “unauthorized access” to data belonging to 143 million U.S. consumers. …Read More.
Vanguard founder John Bogle’s “cost matters hypothesis” explains why, after subtracting fees, returns from active management tend to be smaller than returns from passive management, as the latter costs less. However, retail investors tend to pay higher advisory and management fees than institutional investors. Since 2002, S&P Dow Jones Indices has been publishing its S&P …Read More.
If diversification is a free lunch, use the full buffet. In a recent article that highlighted the perils of owning individual stocks, I offered the historical evidence demonstrating how only a small percentage of stocks have accounted for all the gains provided by the market—with the vast majority earning a big, fat zero in aggregate cumulative …Read More.
Are you getting the most out of your relationship with your financial advisor? As someone who has long made a living as a financial advisor, I have an inherent bias toward retaining one. I even have one myself, because I believe personal finance is more personal than it is finance. However, paradoxically, I fear that …Read More.
How many new ways are there for the same old market forecasters to twist a timeless truth: None of us know what the markets will do next. Consider the following quote from a recent Wall Street Journal article entitled, “Global Stocks Post Strongest First Half in Years, Worrying Investors.” “The question for …Read More.
The antidote to stock market hysteria. Market forecasters capitalize on our desire to know the unknowable. Tim Maurer, Director of Personal Finance, The BAM Alliance Just for fun, Google the words “market pullback.” There are over 2.2 million results–most of them market predictions–and the first page of results is dominated by calls for an imminent …Read More.
Larry Swedroe tallies mid-year hits and misses for 2017’s “sure thing” predictions. Larry Swedroe, Director of Research, The BAM Alliance At the start of each year, I compile a list of predictions that gurus have made for the upcoming year, along with some items I frequently hear from investors—sort of a consensus of “sure things.” …Read More.